This estimation seems very wrongful. They seem to be at around 200-300 phones totally when it comes to emails sent out. They seem to have started on order number 418x and they are now at 44xx. If they are at early 4400, that makes it around 220 phones, late 4400 means around 320 phones.
Last photo they sent out they had finished flashing about 1017 phones. That minus 540 (that were handed out at the event or sent after to the “no shows”) makes 477.
However, trying to run a company myself I know there are many moving parts. Lots to think about when it comes to payment, making sure the right product reaches the right person, etc.
Keep up the good work, Jolla! Many of us are waiting and longing to get into our hands what you have created in about half a year. All the best to you!
EDIT:
Late 44xx it is: